The Thanksgiving rule, the Islanders’s demise, the Leon Draisaitl begin – [Update News]

Thanksgiving Day is at all times a well-liked reflection level within the hockey calendar because of The Thanksgiving Day Rule: Round 80 % of groups at the moment in a playoff spot keep in a single. Meaning of the 16 groups at the moment in a playoff spot, roughly 12 or 13 ought to nonetheless be there come April.

Twenty video games can say lots a couple of workforce in order that is sensible, however it’s additionally simply math. Take the common playoff likelihood of the present 16 playoff groups and the common is 81 %. Proper on track. Groups anticipated to be good have a excessive likelihood of beginning robust, and in the event that they don’t there’s an excellent probability they’ll discover a option to make up floor. Groups anticipated to be unhealthy are the precise reverse.

Nothing is a assure in hockey in both path and that’s why there are at all times early-season surprises. The query is whether or not they can preserve it for an entire season.

In the meanwhile, primarily based on factors proportion, right here’s what the playoff image seems to be like, with every workforce’s projected future report, present playoff likelihood and preseason playoff likelihood for context.

The query round this time is at all times which workforce is more likely to fall out and which workforce is more likely to climb again in. The straightforward probabilistic reply is the one primarily based on present odds. Meaning, within the West, the Geese out and Stars in; Penguins in,