NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup playoff chances and projected standings – [Update News]

Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team’s projected point total, its probability of making the playoffs, and its odds of advancing to each subsequent round, including winning the Stanley Cup.

The projections are based on 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, which factors in each team’s projected strength, current health, and their strength of schedule (which includes opponent strength, venue and rest). Each team’s projected strength is based on the projected value of the players on its roster based on Game Score Valued Added (GSVA) and can be found at the bottom of the article, along with a link to team depth charts containing projected GSVA values for each player. Learn more about GSVA here.

This page will be updated every morning. To see a larger version of any chart, click on the expand button.

All projections and probabilities have been rounded to the nearest whole number.

Last update: January 11, 2021 at 9:15 A.M. ET

Projected Standings

 

Chances of Division

Playoff Progression